How U.S. Economic Shifts are Impacting Real Estate

Making informed decisions in real estate starts with having access to the right information. By staying updated on market trends, sales data, and economic news, you can better understand the opportunities and challenges that lie ahead. My goal in sharing these insights is to empower you to make confident choices in your real estate decisions. So, let’s break down the latest data and see what it means for your home goals.

Is the U.S. Real Estate Market on the Rise?

The U.S. median house sales price saw a significant increase in March and is poised to continue its climb in the coming months. Interestingly, the all-time high was recorded in June 2022. Year over year, single-family-home prices in March 2024 rose by 4.7%, while condo/co-op prices surged by 5.8%. Typically, median sales prices reach their peak for the year in late spring.

Latest on Inventory in the Housing Market

Good news for buyers! The number of new listings rose by 16.5% from February and increased by 15.5% year-over-year. Additionally, active listings saw a 14.4% year-over-year growth. However, it's worth noting that the supply of homes for sale remains relatively low compared to the levels seen between 2017 and 2019.

How are Sales and Buyer Behavior Shaping Up?

March witnessed a 19.6% jump in monthly home sales compared to February. Yet, year-over-year, there was a 9.7% decline. Approximately 60% of sales closed in less than a month, with 29% selling above the list price. Interestingly, 6% of buyers purchased homes without seeing them in person, showcasing the power of digital tools in today's market. First-time homebuyers represented 32% of purchases.

What Economic Indicators Should We Watch?

In the first half of April, economic indicators took a slightly different turn. General inflation for March unexpectedly increased to 3.5% from 3.2%. The “core” inflation remained stable at 3.8%. These figures, notably higher than the Fed’s goal of 2%, have cast uncertainty on expected reductions in the Fed’s benchmark rate for 2024. Consequently, mortgage interest rates climbed above 7%. Despite this, the unemployment rate continues to hover near historic lows.

Why is this Important?

Understanding these trends and numbers is crucial for both buyers and sellers in the current market landscape. For sellers, it highlights the potential for favorable selling conditions, with rising prices and strong demand. For buyers, the increase in new listings offers more choices, but the low supply relative to demand means competition remains fierce. Economic shifts, such as rising inflation and interest rates, further emphasize the importance of informed decision-making in real estate transactions.

Whether you're looking to buy, sell, or invest in real estate, having a knowledgeable and experienced real estate agent by your side can make all the difference. If you have any questions or need guidance navigating these market conditions, feel free to connect with Rise Group today.